Statistical consequences of fat tails (Record no. 29684)
[ view plain ]
000 -LEADER | |
---|---|
fixed length control field | 02028 a2200193 4500 |
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
control field | OSt |
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
control field | 20241120162523.0 |
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
fixed length control field | 230417b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
International Standard Book Number | 9781544508054 |
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE | |
Original cataloging agency | ICTS-TIFR |
050 ## - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER | |
Classification number | QA273.6 |
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Statistical consequences of fat tails |
Remainder of title | : real world preasymptotics, epistemology, and applications : papers and commentary |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | STEM Academic Press, |
Date of publication, distribution, etc. | [c2020] |
Place of publication, distribution, etc. | U.S.A.: |
300 ## - Physical Description | |
Pages: | 441 p. |
490 ## - SERIES STATEMENT | |
Series statement | The Technical Incerto Collection |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc. | The book investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat tailed distributions and looks for remedies, when possible. Switching from thin tailed to fat tailed distributions requires more than “changing the color of the dress.” Traditional asymptotics deal mainly with either n=1 or n=∞, and the real world is in between, under the “laws of the medium numbers”–which vary widely across specific distributions. Both the law of large numbers and the generalized central limit mechanisms operate in highly idiosyncratic ways outside the standard Gaussian or Levy-Stable basins of convergence. A few examples: - The sample mean is rarely in line with the population mean, with effect on “naïve empiricism,” but can be sometimes be estimated via parametric methods. - The “empirical distribution” is rarely empirical. - Parameter uncertainty has compounding effects on statistical metrics. - Dimension reduction (principal components) fails. - Inequality estimators (Gini or quantile contributions) are not additive and produce wrong results. - Many “biases” found in psychology become entirely rational under more sophisticated probability distributions. - Most of the failures of financial economics, econometrics, and behavioral economics can be attributed to using the wrong distributions. This book, the first volume of the Technical Incerto, weaves a narrative around published journal articles. |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
Source of classification or shelving scheme | |
Koha item type | Book |
Withdrawn status | Lost status | Damaged status | Not for loan | Collection code | Home library | Shelving location | Date acquired | Inventory number | Full call number | Accession No. | Koha item type |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mathematics | ICTS | Rack No 5 | 07/03/2023 | IN-174 dt.05/04/2023 | QA273.6 | 02634 | Book |